Wednesday, July 16, 2008

All Star game frustration leads to a new stat

I was cheering for the All Star game to end in a tie. I don't recall ever cheering for a sporting event to end in a tie before, but it felt like the right thing to do. I'm a fan of watching slow motion train wreaks. Justin Morneau, of all people, ruined it for me in the 15th, ending the longest All Star game ever and disappointing all of us who wanted to see the spectacle of position players pitching in an All Star game. The whole thing got me to thinking and out of that thinking I managed to think up a stat, more fun than useful.

I call it the B.S. index, named after none other than Bug Selig. The stat works this way. For every World Series where home field advantage would have been different if not for the "This Time it Counts" rule you add one to the B.S. index.

It's that simple.

There are two different ways of computing however, the classic method and the winning percentage method. Since home field advantage used to switch between the two leagues every year, the classic method is computed by taking the amount of years the rule has been in effect and dividing that number by two. You then subtract that from the amount of times the league with the most home field advantages has gotten home field. Since the rule went into effect the American league has gotten home field advantage 6 times and the National league has gotten home field advantage 0 times.

So the formula for the classic method goes: bsHFA - cHFA
bsHFA = Home field advantages as awarded by the All-Star game
cHFA = Classic Home field advantage, computed by taking the number of years since the rule went into effect and dividing by 2 (Y/2). Or: 6 - ( 6 / 2 ) = 3

Using the classic method baseballs B.S. index now stands at 3.

The other method, winning percentage, awards home field advantage to the World series team with the best winning percentage. The formula for the winning percentage method goes: bsHFA - wpHFD
wpHFA = Winning percentage based HFA
Using this method the HFA is 5 (because we can't count this year yet) and the wpHFA is 4 (4 American league teams had the best record, one National league team).
So: 5 - 4 = 1

Using the winning percentage method baseballs B.S. index now stands at a modest 1.

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